What is GEO's health score?

GEO GROUP INC (GEO) has a TradeApes health score of 47 out of 100, rated Mixed. This composite score evaluates financial strength, operating trends, valuation, capital allocation, and risk factors.

What is GEO's estimated fair value?

Based on our 5-year discounted cash flow model, GEO GROUP INC's estimated fair value is $25.59 per share, representing a 1.7% upside from the current price. This is a model estimate, not a price target or investment recommendation.

Is GEO undervalued or overvalued?

Our model currently rates GEO as Fair Value. This assessment combines health metrics, valuation multiples, and market sentiment. Individual investors should conduct their own due diligence.

Crunching the numbers for GEO... Refresh in a moment for the full analysis.

GEO GROUP INC (GEO)

Industrials Fair Value low mixed

$25.15

Updated: 2026-06-04

TradeApes Score

Financial Strength

25 Stressed

Operating Trend

48 Mixed

Relative Value

40 Weak

Capital Allocation

70 Healthy

Risk

80 Strong

Est. Fair Value $25.59

DCF Upside +1.7%

Sector Rank #198 of 3792

Key Findings

+ Active buybacks — share count declining, capital returned to owners

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− High leverage — net debt/EBITDA between 3× and 5×

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TradeApes provides financial data, analytics, and research tools. TradeApes is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, or tax advisor. The information presented is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, or tax advice.

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