PLUG Analysis — TradeApes

PLUG POWER INC (PLUG)

Technology

$3.22 close · Jun 06, 2026

Above 50 & 200 SMA

52W -22.3% from High

Methodology Breakdown

Single-method rescue — one voting method produced a value with peer-rank corroboration. The verdict displays the dollar, but cross-method triangulation didn't reach a consensus.

Method	Value	Role
Peer Multiples	$1.06	REFERENCE
Book Value Anchor	$1.29	REFERENCE
Cash Floor	$0.11	REFERENCE
NAV Anchor	$1.29	REFERENCE

Verdict basis:


              multiples_only

📈

Multiple compressed z = -1.81

EV/EBITDA (-3.3×) is 1.81 std deviations below its 2-year average

Jun 06

Health Score

Out of 100

Weak

Pillar Scores

Financial Strength 35

Operating Trend 40

Valuation 40

Capital Allocation 50

Risk Management 50

Positives

↑ Low leverage — net debt/EBITDA below 1× +2.5

↑ Strong liquidity — current assets more than 2× current liabilities +1.3

Concerns

↓ Weak interest coverage — earnings barely cover debt service -3.8

↓ Altman Z-Score in distress zone — elevated bankruptcy risk -3.0

↓ Large FCF burn — cash consumption exceeds 10% of revenue -2.5

Signal contribution: +3.8 from strengths -15.6 from concerns

Health Score Trend 7 snapshots

Financials

TTM Financials

Revenue ?Total sales generated from the company's primary business activities over the trailing twelve months.	739.8M
Gross Profit ?Revenue minus cost of goods sold. What remains before operating expenses — reflects pricing power and production efficiency.	-189.8M
Operating Income ?Profit from core business operations after all operating expenses (EBIT). Excludes interest and taxes.	-1.40B
Net Income ?Bottom-line profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted from revenue.	-1.68B
Free Cash Flow ?Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The actual cash the business generates after maintaining its assets — the truest measure of profitability.	-653.4M
EBITDA ?Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortization. A proxy for operating cash earnings that strips out accounting and financing differences.	-1.37B
Total Debt ?Combined short-term and long-term interest-bearing debt obligations. Compare against cash and earnings to gauge leverage risk.	—
Cash & Equivalents ?Highly liquid assets on hand — cash, money market funds, and short-term securities. The company's immediate financial cushion.	223.2M

Valuation

Market Cap	4.47B
Enterprise Value	4.48B
EV / Revenue	6.1x
EV / EBITDA	-3.3x
P/E (TTM)	-2.7x
Forward P/E	—
PEG	—
P/FCF	-6.8x
FCF Yield	-14.6%

EV/Sales vs history — 88% percentile (historically expensive)

CheapMidExpensive

P/Book vs history — 90% percentile (historically expensive)

CheapMidExpensive

DCF Fair Value Range (base CAGR: 28.8%)

Bear

$1.46

Base

$3.63

Bull

$7.98

Bear $1 Current $3.22 (in range) Bull $8

Key Metrics

Gross Margin ?Gross profit as a % of revenue. Measures how efficiently the company produces its goods or services — higher is better.	-25.7%
EBITDA Margin ?EBITDA as a % of revenue. Shows core operating profitability before accounting adjustments — useful for comparing across industries.	-184.7%
Net Margin ?Net income as a % of revenue. The ultimate measure of overall profitability after every expense, interest payment, and tax is accounted for.	-227.2%
FCF Margin ?Free cash flow as a % of revenue. Shows how much of each dollar of revenue converts into real, spendable cash.	-88.3%
Revenue Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in total revenue. Measures business momentum — sustained growth above 15% is typically considered strong.	15.2%
Net Income Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in net income. Shows whether profits are growing faster or slower than revenue — a key indicator of improving or deteriorating quality.	16.2%
Piotroski F-Score ?Score from 0–9 measuring financial strength across profitability, leverage, and efficiency signals. 8–9 = strong, 0–2 = distressed.	4 / 9
Altman Z-Score ?Bankruptcy risk model. Above 2.99 = safe zone, 1.81–2.99 = grey zone, below 1.81 = distress signal. Most useful for manufacturing companies.	-0.54

Community Sentiment

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Quarterly Financials

Metric	Q1 '26	Q4 '25	Q3 '25	Q2 '25	Q1 '25	Q4 '25	Q3 '24	Q2 '24	Q1 '24	Q4 '24	Q3 '24	Q2 '24
Revenue ?Total quarterly sales from primary business operations.	163.5M	225.2M	177.1M	174.0M	133.7M	191.5M	173.7M	143.4M	120.3M	222.2M	198.7M	260.2M
Gross Profit ?Quarterly revenue minus cost of goods sold.	-21.6M	5.5M	-120.2M	-53.5M	-73.9M	-234.5M	-100.0M	-131.3M	-159.1M	-222.3M	-138.0M	-78.1M
Operating Income ?Quarterly profit from core operations before interest and taxes (EBIT).	-109.5M	-763.2M	-348.8M	-176.9M	-178.5M	-1.30B	-216.2M	-244.7M	-259.4M	-625.9M	-274.0M	-233.8M
Net Income ?Quarterly bottom-line profit after all expenses and taxes.	-245.3M	-846.4M	-361.9M	-227.1M	-196.7M	-1.34B	-211.2M	-262.3M	-295.8M	-642.6M	-283.5M	-236.4M
FCF ?Quarterly free cash flow: operating cash minus capital expenditures.	-152.4M	-153.0M	-117.5M	-230.4M	-146.0M	-165.2M	-234.2M	-356.0M	-260.3M	-423.8M	-403.6M	-498.8M

Revenue & Free Cash Flow

Market Cap vs. DCF Fair Value Band

Shaded region = bear-to-bull DCF range. Line = actual market cap.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Scores and valuations are derived from SEC filings and publicly available data. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.