IREN Ltd (IREN)
Financials Specialty Finance
$44.68 close · Sep 05, 2026
Model Divergence 27 Health · Stressed
Above 50 SMA
52W -41.5% from High

Methodology Breakdown

Financial

The market price on this stock implies growth our normalized base can't support, so we're not putting a single fair-value dollar on it. The individual method outputs are shown below for transparency.

Method Value Role
Book Value Anchor $10.50 COMPUTED
Cash Floor $13.05 COMPUTED
NAV Anchor $15.52 COMPUTED
Computed — every method is shown for transparency; none was published as our estimate for this stock.
📈
Multiple compressed z = -1.56
EV/EBITDA (-472.9×) is 1.56 std deviations below its 2-year average
Jun 05
Health Score
Health Score
27
Out of 100
Stressed
Pillar Scores
Financial Strength
35
Operating Trend
31
Valuation
Overvalued 10
Capital Allocation
11
Risk Management
51
Positives
revenue YoY + 3yr CAGR +6.0
current + quick ratio +3.0
accruals ratio +1.3
Concerns
operating-margin trend + inflection -5.0
FCF margin + growth -4.0
margin expansion -2.0
Signal contribution: +13.1 from strengths -49.2 from concerns
Health Score Trend 9 snapshots
Financials
TTM Financials
Revenue ?Total sales generated from the company's primary business activities over the trailing twelve months.707.0M
Gross Profit ?Revenue minus cost of goods sold. What remains before operating expenses — reflects pricing power and production efficiency.
Operating Income ?Profit from core business operations after all operating expenses (EBIT). Excludes interest and taxes.-1.05B
Net Income ?Bottom-line profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted from revenue.-702.6M
Free Cash Flow ?Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The actual cash the business generates after maintaining its assets — the truest measure of profitability.-897.6M
EBITDA ?Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortization. A proxy for operating cash earnings that strips out accounting and financing differences.-629.0M
Total Debt ?Combined short-term and long-term interest-bearing debt obligations. Compare against cash and earnings to gauge leverage risk.7.59B
Cash & Equivalents ?Highly liquid assets on hand — cash, money market funds, and short-term securities. The company's immediate financial cushion.5.90B
Valuation
Market Cap14.12B
Enterprise Value15.82B
EV / Revenue22.4x
EV / EBITDA-25.2x
P/E (TTM)-20.1x
Forward P/E
PEG
P/FCF-15.7x
FCF Yield-6.4%
EV/Sales vs history — 69% percentile (historically expensive)
CheapMidExpensive
P/Book vs history — 28% percentile (historically cheap)
CheapMidExpensive
DCF Fair Value Range (base CAGR: 80.0%)
Bear
$12.78
Base
$46.73
Bull
$125.07
Bear $13 Current $44.68 (in range) Bull $125
Key Metrics
Gross Margin ?Gross profit as a % of revenue. Measures how efficiently the company produces its goods or services — higher is better.
EBITDA Margin ?EBITDA as a % of revenue. Shows core operating profitability before accounting adjustments — useful for comparing across industries.-89.0%
Net Margin ?Net income as a % of revenue. The ultimate measure of overall profitability after every expense, interest payment, and tax is accounted for.-99.4%
FCF Margin ?Free cash flow as a % of revenue. Shows how much of each dollar of revenue converts into real, spendable cash.-127.0%
Revenue Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in total revenue. Measures business momentum — sustained growth above 15% is typically considered strong.41.1%
Net Income Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in net income. Shows whether profits are growing faster or slower than revenue — a key indicator of improving or deteriorating quality.-908.2%
Piotroski F-Score ?Score from 0–9 measuring financial strength across profitability, leverage, and efficiency signals. 8–9 = strong, 0–2 = distressed.2 / 9
Altman Z-Score ?Bankruptcy risk model. Above 2.99 = safe zone, 1.81–2.99 = grey zone, below 1.81 = distress signal. Most useful for manufacturing companies.0.84
Community Sentiment
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Quarterly Financials
Metric Q4 '26 Q3 '26 Q2 '26 Q1 '26 Q4 '25 Q ' Q2 '26 Q1 '26 Q4 '25 Q ' Q ' Q '
Revenue ?Total quarterly sales from primary business operations. 137.2M 144.8M 184.7M 240.3M 187.3M 144.8M 116.1M 52.8M 187.2M
Gross Profit ?Quarterly revenue minus cost of goods sold.
Operating Income ?Quarterly profit from core operations before interest and taxes (EBIT). -620.4M -233.5M -116.4M -76.4M 17.9M 29.2M 17.3M -47.1M -27.2M
Net Income ?Quarterly bottom-line profit after all expenses and taxes. -684.0M -247.8M -155.4M 384.6M 176.7M -16.1M -21.9M -51.7M -28.9M
FCF ?Quarterly free cash flow: operating cash minus capital expenditures. 482.2M -873.8M -468.0M -38.0M -81.0M -51.3M -85.5M -109.7M -89.6M
Revenue & Free Cash Flow
Market Cap vs. DCF Fair Value Band
Shaded region = bear-to-bull DCF range. Line = actual market cap.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Scores and valuations are derived from SEC filings and publicly available data. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
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