NVDA Analysis — TradeApes

NVIDIA CORP (NVDA)

Technology Semiconductors

$205.10 close · Jun 06, 2026

Above 50 & 200 SMA

52W -13.0% from High

Methodology Breakdown

Methods agree on direction (under/over-valued) but the magnitudes diverge widely. The zone is defensible; the specific dollar isn't.

Method	Value	Role
DCF (Base Case)	$55.05	REFERENCE
DCF (TTM-anchored)	$481.73	REFERENCE
Peer Multiples	$36.39	REFERENCE
Earnings Power Value	$3.45	REFERENCE
Book Value Anchor	$53.03	REFERENCE
Earnings Anchor	$69.19	REFERENCE
Cash Floor	$0.38	REFERENCE
NAV Anchor	$53.03	REFERENCE

Verdict basis:


              direction_agreement

📈

Multiple compressed z = -1.71

EV/EBITDA (24.7×) is 1.71 std deviations below its 2-year average

May 25

📈

Undervalued -23.4%

Market cap (4085.98B) is 23.4% below the bear-case DCF fair value (5331.07B)

May 25

Health Score

Out of 100

Healthy

Pillar Scores

Financial Strength 80

Operating Trend 60

Valuation 60

Capital Allocation 55

Risk Management 80

Positives

↑ Historically cheap — EV/EBITDA in bottom 25% of its 5-year range +5.0

↑ Net cash position — more cash on hand than total debt +3.8

↑ Free cash flow positive — business generates real spendable cash +2.5

Concerns

↓ High P/E — 25–45×, growth premium already priced in -2.5

Signal contribution: +15.9 from strengths -2.5 from concerns

Health Score Trend 7 snapshots

Cross-Check: Greenblatt Magic Formula

✓ Aligned

Earnings Yield

3.2%

Rank 855 / 1256

Return on Capital

139.5%

Rank 204 / 1256

Combined Rank

57th pctl

1256 companies ranked

Based on Joel Greenblatt's Magic Formula methodology. Not investment advice.

Financials

TTM Financials

Revenue ?Total sales generated from the company's primary business activities over the trailing twelve months.	253.49B
Gross Profit ?Revenue minus cost of goods sold. What remains before operating expenses — reflects pricing power and production efficiency.	187.95B
Operating Income ?Profit from core business operations after all operating expenses (EBIT). Excludes interest and taxes.	162.29B
Net Income ?Bottom-line profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted from revenue.	159.61B
Free Cash Flow ?Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The actual cash the business generates after maintaining its assets — the truest measure of profitability.	124.14B
EBITDA ?Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortization. A proxy for operating cash earnings that strips out accounting and financing differences.	165.51B
Total Debt ?Combined short-term and long-term interest-bearing debt obligations. Compare against cash and earnings to gauge leverage risk.	8.47B
Cash & Equivalents ?Highly liquid assets on hand — cash, money market funds, and short-term securities. The company's immediate financial cushion.	13.24B

Valuation

Market Cap	5002.59B
Enterprise Value	5002.17B
EV / Revenue	19.7x
EV / EBITDA	30.2x
P/E (TTM)	31.3x
Forward P/E (extrapolated)	14.1x
PEG	0.1x
P/FCF	40.3x
FCF Yield	2.5%

EV/EBITDA vs history — 3% percentile (historically cheap)

CheapMidExpensive

EV/Sales vs history — 15% percentile (historically cheap)

CheapMidExpensive

P/Book vs history — 1% percentile (historically cheap)

CheapMidExpensive

DCF Fair Value Range (base CAGR: 27.6%)

Bear

$218.39

Base

$464.87

Bull

$938.01

Bear $218 Current $205.10 (below range) Bull $938

Market is pricing in 12.7% FCF growth annually — base model assumes 27.6%

Key Metrics

Gross Margin ?Gross profit as a % of revenue. Measures how efficiently the company produces its goods or services — higher is better.	74.1%
EBITDA Margin ?EBITDA as a % of revenue. Shows core operating profitability before accounting adjustments — useful for comparing across industries.	65.3%
Net Margin ?Net income as a % of revenue. The ultimate measure of overall profitability after every expense, interest payment, and tax is accounted for.	63.0%
FCF Margin ?Free cash flow as a % of revenue. Shows how much of each dollar of revenue converts into real, spendable cash.	49.0%
Revenue Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in total revenue. Measures business momentum — sustained growth above 15% is typically considered strong.	70.7%
Net Income Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in net income. Shows whether profits are growing faster or slower than revenue — a key indicator of improving or deteriorating quality.	107.9%
Piotroski F-Score ?Score from 0–9 measuring financial strength across profitability, leverage, and efficiency signals. 8–9 = strong, 0–2 = distressed.	7 / 9
Altman Z-Score ?Bankruptcy risk model. Above 2.99 = safe zone, 1.81–2.99 = grey zone, below 1.81 = distress signal. Most useful for manufacturing companies.	6.42

Community Sentiment

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Quarterly Financials

Metric	Q1 '27	Q4 '26	Q3 '26	Q2 '26	Q1 '26	Q4 '26	Q3 '25	Q2 '26	Q1 '25	Q4 '24	Q3 '24	Q2 '24
Revenue ?Total quarterly sales from primary business operations.	81.62B	68.13B	57.01B	46.74B	44.06B	39.33B	35.08B	30.04B	26.04B	22.10B	18.12B	13.51B
Gross Profit ?Quarterly revenue minus cost of goods sold.	61.16B	51.09B	41.85B	33.85B	26.67B	28.72B	26.16B	22.57B	20.41B	16.79B	13.40B	9.46B
Operating Income ?Quarterly profit from core operations before interest and taxes (EBIT).	53.54B	44.30B	36.01B	28.44B	21.64B	24.03B	21.87B	18.64B	16.91B	13.62B	10.42B	6.80B
Net Income ?Quarterly bottom-line profit after all expenses and taxes.	58.32B	42.96B	31.91B	26.42B	18.78B	22.09B	19.31B	16.60B	14.88B	12.29B	9.24B	6.19B
FCF ?Quarterly free cash flow: operating cash minus capital expenditures.	49.24B	36.16B	24.06B	14.67B	27.01B	16.25B	17.63B	14.49B	15.20B	11.33B	7.33B	6.35B

Revenue & Free Cash Flow

Market Cap vs. DCF Fair Value Band

Shaded region = bear-to-bull DCF range. Line = actual market cap.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Scores and valuations are derived from SEC filings and publicly available data. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.