ORCL Analysis — TradeApes

ORACLE CORP (ORCL)

Technology Software

$158.78 close · Sep 05, 2026

Overvalued (Low) Est. $97.71–$97.71 44 Health · Weak

Above 50 SMA

52W -39.5% from High

Methodology Breakdown

Mature

Our Estimate

$97.71 – $97.71 Wide range

Low confidence: our methods span $97.71–$97.71, so we lean on the range rather than a single number. Today's price $149.12 sits above it.

Method	Value	Role
Peer Multiples	$97.71	SETS ESTIMATE
Book Value Anchor	$53.07	CROSS-CHECK
Earnings Anchor	$101.45	CROSS-CHECK
Cash Floor	$7.66	CROSS-CHECK
NAV Anchor	$53.07	CROSS-CHECK

In estimate — combined into our number · Cross-check — computed for context, not counted

Only one method produced a usable value here; it's corroborated by where the stock ranks against its peers, but there's no cross-method agreement to confirm it.

📈

Multiple compressed z = -1.53

EV/EBITDA (15.6×) is 1.53 std deviations below its 2-year average

Apr 12

Health Score

Out of 100

Weak

Pillar Scores

Financial Strength

Operating Trend

Valuation

Overvalued 28

Capital Allocation

Risk Management

Positives

↑ accruals ratio +1.1

↑ no structural flags +1.1

↑ corrected ROIC (NOPAT / invested capital) +1.6

Concerns

↓ free-cash-flow margin -4.0

↓ FCF margin + growth -4.4

↓ free-cash-flow yield -4.4

Signal contribution: +6.7 from strengths -18.8 from concerns

Health Score Trend 9 snapshots

Cross-Check: Greenblatt Magic Formula

⚠ Mild Divergence

Earnings Yield

5.2%

Rank 556 / 1256

Return on Capital

138.5%

Rank 207 / 1256

Combined Rank

78th pctl

1256 companies ranked

Based on Joel Greenblatt's Magic Formula methodology. Not investment advice.

Financials

TTM Financials

Revenue ?Total sales generated from the company's primary business activities over the trailing twelve months.	67.36B
Gross Profit ?Revenue minus cost of goods sold. What remains before operating expenses — reflects pricing power and production efficiency.	—
Operating Income ?Profit from core business operations after all operating expenses (EBIT). Excludes interest and taxes.	20.61B
Net Income ?Bottom-line profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted from revenue.	17.09B
Free Cash Flow ?Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The actual cash the business generates after maintaining its assets — the truest measure of profitability.	-23.69B
EBITDA ?Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortization. A proxy for operating cash earnings that strips out accounting and financing differences.	28.23B
Total Debt ?Combined short-term and long-term interest-bearing debt obligations. Compare against cash and earnings to gauge leverage risk.	129.54B
Cash & Equivalents ?Highly liquid assets on hand — cash, money market funds, and short-term securities. The company's immediate financial cushion.	31.29B

Valuation

Market Cap	462.68B
Enterprise Value	591.13B
EV / Revenue	8.8x
EV / EBITDA	20.9x
P/E (TTM)	27.1x
Forward P/E (extrapolated)	11.4x
PEG	0.3x
P/FCF	-19.5x
FCF Yield	-5.1%

EV/EBITDA vs history — 83% percentile (historically expensive)

CheapMidExpensive

EV/Sales vs history — 75% percentile (historically expensive)

CheapMidExpensive

P/Book vs history — 77% percentile (historically expensive)

CheapMidExpensive

Relative Valuation

Negative FCF (-23.69B TTM) — using relative multiples instead of DCF

EV / Revenue

8.8x

Book Value / Share

$14.59

Price / Book

10.9x

P/E (TTM)

27.1x

Price / Sales

6.9x

Key Metrics

Gross Margin ?Gross profit as a % of revenue. Measures how efficiently the company produces its goods or services — higher is better.	—
EBITDA Margin ?EBITDA as a % of revenue. Shows core operating profitability before accounting adjustments — useful for comparing across industries.	41.9%
Net Margin ?Net income as a % of revenue. The ultimate measure of overall profitability after every expense, interest payment, and tax is accounted for.	25.4%
FCF Margin ?Free cash flow as a % of revenue. Shows how much of each dollar of revenue converts into real, spendable cash.	-35.2%
Revenue Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in total revenue. Measures business momentum — sustained growth above 15% is typically considered strong.	17.3%
Net Income Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in net income. Shows whether profits are growing faster or slower than revenue — a key indicator of improving or deteriorating quality.	37.3%
Piotroski F-Score ?Score from 0–9 measuring financial strength across profitability, leverage, and efficiency signals. 8–9 = strong, 0–2 = distressed.	4 / 9
Altman Z-Score ?Bankruptcy risk model. Above 2.99 = safe zone, 1.81–2.99 = grey zone, below 1.81 = distress signal. Most useful for manufacturing companies.	—

Community Sentiment

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Quarterly Financials

Metric	Q4 '26	Q3 '26	Q2 '26	Q1 '26	Q4 '25	Q3 '26	Q2 '26	Q1 '26	Q4 '25	Q3 '25	Q2 '25	Q1 '25
Revenue ?Total quarterly sales from primary business operations.	19.18B	17.19B	16.06B	14.93B	15.90B	14.13B	14.06B	13.31B	14.29B	13.28B	12.94B	12.45B
Gross Profit ?Quarterly revenue minus cost of goods sold.	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Operating Income ?Quarterly profit from core operations before interest and taxes (EBIT).	6.13B	5.46B	4.73B	4.28B	5.11B	4.36B	4.22B	3.99B	4.69B	3.75B	3.62B	3.30B
Net Income ?Quarterly bottom-line profit after all expenses and taxes.	4.30B	3.72B	6.14B	2.93B	3.43B	2.94B	3.15B	2.93B	3.14B	2.40B	2.50B	2.42B
FCF ?Quarterly free cash flow: operating cash minus capital expenditures.	-1.87B	-11.48B	-9.97B	-362.0M	-2.92B	71.0M	-2.67B	5.12B	3.28B	3.80B	-937.0M	5.66B

Revenue & Free Cash Flow

Market Cap vs. DCF Fair Value Band

Shaded region = bear-to-bull DCF range. Line = actual market cap.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Scores and valuations are derived from SEC filings and publicly available data. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.