PAYX Analysis — TradeApes

PAYCHEX INC (PAYX)

Industrials

$100.53 close · Jun 06, 2026

Above 50 SMA

52W -30.3% from High

Methodology Breakdown

Triangulated across multiple voting methods. The breakdown below shows each method's output and which ones voted on the final verdict.

Method	Value	Role
DCF (Base Case)	$77.15	REFERENCE
DCF (TTM-anchored)	$75.23	REFERENCE
Peer Multiples	$78.24	REFERENCE
Earnings Power Value	$41.58	REFERENCE
Book Value Anchor	$20.55	REFERENCE
Earnings Anchor	$89.03	REFERENCE

Triangulation spread: 4% across voting methods.

Health Score

Out of 100

Mixed

Pillar Scores

Financial Strength 65

Operating Trend 60

Valuation 30

Capital Allocation 45

Risk Management 70

Positives

↑ Strong interest coverage — EBIT covers interest 10×+ +2.5

↑ Free cash flow positive — business generates real spendable cash +2.5

↑ High ROIC — above 20%, excellent return on invested capital +2.5

Concerns

↓ Historically expensive — EV/EBITDA in top 20% of its 5-year range -6.3

↓ Debt increasing — total debt up more than 10% year over year -1.5

↓ Piotroski F-Score 0–3 — multiple financial weakness signals -1.3

Signal contribution: +9.6 from strengths -10.1 from concerns

Health Score Trend 7 snapshots

Cross-Check: Greenblatt Magic Formula

⚠ Divergent

Earnings Yield

7.0%

Rank 347 / 1256

Return on Capital

114.1%

Rank 252 / 1256

Combined Rank

86th pctl

1256 companies ranked

Magic Formula ranks this company higher than our composite. Our lower score is likely driven by factors the Magic Formula does not assess: cash flow quality, balance sheet risk, trend momentum, or sentiment signals.

Based on Joel Greenblatt's Magic Formula methodology. Not investment advice.

Financials

TTM Financials

Revenue ?Total sales generated from the company's primary business activities over the trailing twelve months.	6.33B
Gross Profit ?Revenue minus cost of goods sold. What remains before operating expenses — reflects pricing power and production efficiency.	—
Operating Income ?Profit from core business operations after all operating expenses (EBIT). Excludes interest and taxes.	2.34B
Net Income ?Bottom-line profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted from revenue.	1.64B
Free Cash Flow ?Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The actual cash the business generates after maintaining its assets — the truest measure of profitability.	2.09B
EBITDA ?Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortization. A proxy for operating cash earnings that strips out accounting and financing differences.	2.63B
Total Debt ?Combined short-term and long-term interest-bearing debt obligations. Compare against cash and earnings to gauge leverage risk.	4.55B
Cash & Equivalents ?Highly liquid assets on hand — cash, money market funds, and short-term securities. The company's immediate financial cushion.	1.74B

Valuation

Market Cap	36.14B
Enterprise Value	39.01B
EV / Revenue	6.2x
EV / EBITDA	14.8x
P/E (TTM)	22.1x
Forward P/E	—
PEG	—
P/FCF	17.3x
FCF Yield	5.8%

EV/EBITDA vs history — 72% percentile (historically expensive)

CheapMidExpensive

EV/Sales vs history — 50% percentile (mid-range)

CheapMidExpensive

P/Book vs history — 61% percentile (mid-range)

CheapMidExpensive

Relative Valuation

Using relative multiples

EV / Revenue

6.2x

Book Value / Share

$11.16

Price / Book

9.0x

P/E (TTM)

22.1x

Price / Sales

5.7x

Key Metrics

Gross Margin ?Gross profit as a % of revenue. Measures how efficiently the company produces its goods or services — higher is better.	—
EBITDA Margin ?EBITDA as a % of revenue. Shows core operating profitability before accounting adjustments — useful for comparing across industries.	41.5%
Net Margin ?Net income as a % of revenue. The ultimate measure of overall profitability after every expense, interest payment, and tax is accounted for.	25.8%
FCF Margin ?Free cash flow as a % of revenue. Shows how much of each dollar of revenue converts into real, spendable cash.	33.0%
Revenue Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in total revenue. Measures business momentum — sustained growth above 15% is typically considered strong.	16.4%
Net Income Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in net income. Shows whether profits are growing faster or slower than revenue — a key indicator of improving or deteriorating quality.	-5.9%
Piotroski F-Score ?Score from 0–9 measuring financial strength across profitability, leverage, and efficiency signals. 8–9 = strong, 0–2 = distressed.	4 / 9
Altman Z-Score ?Bankruptcy risk model. Above 2.99 = safe zone, 1.81–2.99 = grey zone, below 1.81 = distress signal. Most useful for manufacturing companies.	1.44

Community Sentiment

Not enough ratings yet.
Be the first to rate this company below.

Quarterly Financials

Metric	Q3 '26	Q2 '26	Q1 '26	Q4 '25	Q3 '25	Q2 '25	Q1 '25	Q4 '24	Q3 '25	Q2 '25	Q1 '25	Q4 '24
Revenue ?Total quarterly sales from primary business operations.	1.81B	1.56B	1.54B	1.43B	1.51B	1.32B	1.32B	1.30B	1.44B	1.26B	1.29B	1.23B
Gross Profit ?Quarterly revenue minus cost of goods sold.	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Operating Income ?Quarterly profit from core operations before interest and taxes (EBIT).	792.0M	571.9M	541.9M	431.1M	691.8M	538.1M	546.7M	481.8M	649.8M	506.2M	536.3M	453.3M
Net Income ?Quarterly bottom-line profit after all expenses and taxes.	560.3M	395.4M	383.8M	297.2M	519.3M	413.4M	427.4M	379.9M	498.6M	392.7M	419.2M	350.4M
FCF ?Quarterly free cash flow: operating cash minus capital expenditures.	761.5M	382.8M	662.5M	283.3M	667.3M	248.0M	510.5M	180.4M	631.0M	270.6M	654.3M	371.4M

Revenue & Free Cash Flow

Market Cap vs. DCF Fair Value Band

Shaded region = bear-to-bull DCF range. Line = actual market cap.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Scores and valuations are derived from SEC filings and publicly available data. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.