NFLX Analysis — TradeApes

NETFLIX INC (NFLX)

Communication Services

$99.61 close · Apr 09, 2026

↑ Mild Premium (22/100)

Health Score

Out of 100

Mixed

Pillar Scores

Financial Strength 70

Operating Trend 60

Valuation 40

Capital Allocation 55

Risk 70

Positives

↑ Low leverage — net debt/EBITDA below 1× +2.5

↑ Free cash flow positive — business generates real spendable cash +2.5

↑ High ROIC — above 20%, excellent return on invested capital +2.5

Concerns

↓ High P/E — 25–45×, growth premium already priced in -2.5

↓ Altman Z-Score in grey zone — uncertain financial stability -1.0

Signal contribution: +8.3 from strengths -3.5 from concerns

Health Score Trend 8 snapshots

Financials

TTM Financials

Revenue ?Total sales generated from the company's primary business activities over the trailing twelve months.	45.18B
Gross Profit ?Revenue minus cost of goods sold. What remains before operating expenses — reflects pricing power and production efficiency.	—
Operating Income ?Profit from core business operations after all operating expenses (EBIT). Excludes interest and taxes.	13.33B
Net Income ?Bottom-line profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted from revenue.	10.98B
Free Cash Flow ?Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The actual cash the business generates after maintaining its assets — the truest measure of profitability.	9.46B
EBITDA ?Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortization. A proxy for operating cash earnings that strips out accounting and financing differences.	13.66B
Total Debt ?Combined short-term and long-term interest-bearing debt obligations. Compare against cash and earnings to gauge leverage risk.	14.46B
Cash & Equivalents ?Highly liquid assets on hand — cash, money market funds, and short-term securities. The company's immediate financial cushion.	9.03B

Valuation

Market Cap	432.67B
Enterprise Value	438.10B
EV / Revenue	9.7x
EV / EBITDA	32.1x
P/E (TTM)	39.4x
Forward P/E (extrapolated)	3.5x
PEG	0.1x
P/FCF	45.7x
FCF Yield	2.2%

DCF Fair Value Range (base CAGR: 22.8%)

Bear

$80.36

Base

$153.07

Bull

$279.91

Bear $80 Current $99.61 (in range) Bull $280

Market is pricing in 15.1% FCF growth annually — base model assumes 22.8%

Key Metrics

Gross Margin ?Gross profit as a % of revenue. Measures how efficiently the company produces its goods or services — higher is better.	—
EBITDA Margin ?EBITDA as a % of revenue. Shows core operating profitability before accounting adjustments — useful for comparing across industries.	30.2%
Net Margin ?Net income as a % of revenue. The ultimate measure of overall profitability after every expense, interest payment, and tax is accounted for.	24.3%
FCF Margin ?Free cash flow as a % of revenue. Shows how much of each dollar of revenue converts into real, spendable cash.	20.9%
Revenue Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in total revenue. Measures business momentum — sustained growth above 15% is typically considered strong.	15.9%
Net Income Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in net income. Shows whether profits are growing faster or slower than revenue — a key indicator of improving or deteriorating quality.	26.1%
Piotroski F-Score ?Score from 0–9 measuring financial strength across profitability, leverage, and efficiency signals. 8–9 = strong, 0–2 = distressed.	6 / 9
Altman Z-Score ?Bankruptcy risk model. Above 2.99 = safe zone, 1.81–2.99 = grey zone, below 1.81 = distress signal. Most useful for manufacturing companies.	2.87

Community Sentiment

Not enough ratings yet.
Be the first to rate this company below.

Quarterly Financials

Metric	Q4 '25	Q3 '25	Q2 '25	Q1 '25	Q4 '25	Q3 '24	Q2 '24	Q1 '24	Q4 '23	Q3 '24	Q2 '24	Q1 '24
Revenue ?Total quarterly sales from primary business operations.	12.05B	11.51B	11.08B	10.54B	10.25B	9.82B	9.56B	9.37B	—	8.54B	8.19B	8.16B
Gross Profit ?Quarterly revenue minus cost of goods sold.	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Operating Income ?Quarterly profit from core operations before interest and taxes (EBIT).	2.96B	3.25B	3.77B	3.35B	2.27B	2.91B	2.60B	2.63B	—	1.92B	1.83B	1.71B
Net Income ?Quarterly bottom-line profit after all expenses and taxes.	2.42B	2.55B	3.13B	2.89B	1.87B	2.36B	2.15B	2.33B	—	1.68B	1.49B	1.31B
FCF ?Quarterly free cash flow: operating cash minus capital expenditures.	1.87B	2.66B	2.27B	2.66B	1.38B	2.19B	1.21B	2.14B	—	1.89B	1.34B	2.12B

Revenue & Free Cash Flow

Market Cap vs. DCF Fair Value Band

Shaded region = bear-to-bull DCF range. Line = actual market cap.

Want to track NFLX in your own watchlist?

Create a free account to save companies, refresh fundamentals on demand, and record your investment thesis.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Scores and valuations are derived from SEC filings and publicly available data. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.