FSLR Analysis — TradeApes

FIRST SOLAR, INC. (FSLR)

Technology Semiconductors

$204.45 close · Sep 05, 2026

Overvalued (Low) Est. $156.02–$156.02 82 Health · Strong

Below 50 & 200 SMA

52W -35.8% from High

Methodology Breakdown

Mature

Our Estimate

$156.02 – $156.02 Wide range

Low confidence: our methods span $156.02–$156.02, so we lean on the range rather than a single number. Today's price $201.90 sits above it.

Method	Value	Role
Peer Multiples	$156.02	SETS ESTIMATE
Book Value Anchor	$517.50	CROSS-CHECK
Earnings Anchor	$174.23	CROSS-CHECK
Cash Floor	$11.22	CROSS-CHECK
NAV Anchor	$517.50	CROSS-CHECK

In estimate — combined into our number · Cross-check — computed for context, not counted

Only one method produced a usable value here; it's corroborated by where the stock ranks against its peers, but there's no cross-method agreement to confirm it.

Health Score

Out of 100

Strong

Pillar Scores

Financial Strength

Operating Trend

Valuation

Undervalued 80

Capital Allocation

Risk Management

Positives

↑ free-cash-flow margin +4.7

↑ FCF margin + growth +3.8

↑ ROIC − WACC (value creation) +3.1

Concerns

Signal contribution: +51.5 from strengths

Health Score Trend 9 snapshots

Cross-Check: Greenblatt Magic Formula

✓ Aligned

Earnings Yield

8.2%

Rank 262 / 1256

Return on Capital

42.3%

Rank 619 / 1256

Combined Rank

71th pctl

1256 companies ranked

Based on Joel Greenblatt's Magic Formula methodology. Not investment advice.

Financials

TTM Financials

Revenue ?Total sales generated from the company's primary business activities over the trailing twelve months.	5.38B
Gross Profit ?Revenue minus cost of goods sold. What remains before operating expenses — reflects pricing power and production efficiency.	2.37B
Operating Income ?Profit from core business operations after all operating expenses (EBIT). Excludes interest and taxes.	1.81B
Net Income ?Bottom-line profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted from revenue.	1.75B
Free Cash Flow ?Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The actual cash the business generates after maintaining its assets — the truest measure of profitability.	1.50B
EBITDA ?Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortization. A proxy for operating cash earnings that strips out accounting and financing differences.	—
Total Debt ?Combined short-term and long-term interest-bearing debt obligations. Compare against cash and earnings to gauge leverage risk.	37.6M
Cash & Equivalents ?Highly liquid assets on hand — cash, money market funds, and short-term securities. The company's immediate financial cushion.	1.69B

Valuation

Market Cap	22.03B
Enterprise Value	20.49B
EV / Revenue	3.8x
EV / EBITDA	—
P/E (TTM)	12.6x
Forward P/E (extrapolated)	6.3x
PEG	0.2x
P/FCF	14.7x
FCF Yield	6.8%

EV/Sales vs history — 20% percentile (historically cheap)

CheapMidExpensive

P/Book vs history — 11% percentile (historically cheap)

CheapMidExpensive

Relative Valuation

Using relative multiples

EV / Revenue

3.8x

Book Value / Share

$95.80

Price / Book

2.1x

P/E (TTM)

12.6x

Price / Sales

4.1x

Key Metrics

Gross Margin ?Gross profit as a % of revenue. Measures how efficiently the company produces its goods or services — higher is better.	44.0%
EBITDA Margin ?EBITDA as a % of revenue. Shows core operating profitability before accounting adjustments — useful for comparing across industries.	—
Net Margin ?Net income as a % of revenue. The ultimate measure of overall profitability after every expense, interest payment, and tax is accounted for.	32.5%
FCF Margin ?Free cash flow as a % of revenue. Shows how much of each dollar of revenue converts into real, spendable cash.	27.9%
Revenue Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in total revenue. Measures business momentum — sustained growth above 15% is typically considered strong.	23.8%
Net Income Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in net income. Shows whether profits are growing faster or slower than revenue — a key indicator of improving or deteriorating quality.	38.9%
Piotroski F-Score ?Score from 0–9 measuring financial strength across profitability, leverage, and efficiency signals. 8–9 = strong, 0–2 = distressed.	8 / 9
Altman Z-Score ?Bankruptcy risk model. Above 2.99 = safe zone, 1.81–2.99 = grey zone, below 1.81 = distress signal. Most useful for manufacturing companies.	4.23

Community Sentiment

Not enough ratings yet.
Be the first to rate this company below.

Quarterly Financials

Metric	Q2 '26	Q1 '26	Q4 '25	Q3 '25	Q2 '25	Q1 '25	Q4 '25	Q3 '25	Q2 '25	Q1 '24	Q4 '23	Q3 '23
Revenue ?Total quarterly sales from primary business operations.	1.06B	1.04B	1.68B	1.59B	1.10B	844.6M	1.51B	887.7M	1.01B	794.1M	1.16B	801.1M
Gross Profit ?Quarterly revenue minus cost of goods sold.	605.0M	486.1M	665.3M	610.7M	499.9M	344.4M	567.7M	445.3M	498.9M	346.0M	502.0M	376.2M
Operating Income ?Quarterly profit from core operations before interest and taxes (EBIT).	450.4M	345.3M	547.9M	466.1M	361.6M	221.2M	456.8M	322.0M	372.5M	243.1M	397.8M	273.0M
Net Income ?Quarterly bottom-line profit after all expenses and taxes.	422.6M	346.6M	520.9M	455.9M	341.9M	209.5M	393.1M	313.0M	349.4M	236.6M	349.2M	268.4M
FCF ?Quarterly free cash flow: operating cash minus capital expenditures.	-306.2M	-333.4M	1.07B	1.07B	-138.6M	-813.9M	497.5M	-487.7M	-172.1M	-145.7M	214.2M	-120.8M

Revenue & Free Cash Flow

Market Cap vs. DCF Fair Value Band

Shaded region = bear-to-bull DCF range. Line = actual market cap.

Want to track FSLR in your own watchlist?

Create a free account to save companies, refresh fundamentals on demand, and record your investment thesis.

Get stocks like FSLR in your inbox every Sunday

11 sector-leading stocks delivered to your inbox every Sunday. Free.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Scores and valuations are derived from SEC filings and publicly available data. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.