CISCO SYSTEMS, INC. (CSCO)
Technology
$83.40 close · Apr 09, 2026
Mild Premium (21/100)
⚠️
Overvalued +30.9%
Market cap (332.27B) is 30.9% above the bull-case DCF fair value (253.82B)
Apr 09
Health Score
Health Score
49
Out of 100
Mixed
Pillar Scores
Financial Strength 50
Operating Trend 55
Valuation 40
Capital Allocation 50
Risk 50
Positives
Free cash flow positive — business generates real spendable cash +2.5
Decent ROIC — 10–20%, solid return on invested capital +1.3
Concerns
Altman Z-Score in distress zone — elevated bankruptcy risk -3.0
Weak liquidity — current assets below current liabilities -2.5
High P/E — 25–45×, growth premium already priced in -2.5
Signal contribution: +3.8 from strengths -8.0 from concerns
Health Score Trend 8 snapshots
Financials
TTM Financials
Revenue ?Total sales generated from the company's primary business activities over the trailing twelve months.59.05B
Gross Profit ?Revenue minus cost of goods sold. What remains before operating expenses — reflects pricing power and production efficiency.38.28B
Operating Income ?Profit from core business operations after all operating expenses (EBIT). Excludes interest and taxes.13.43B
Net Income ?Bottom-line profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted from revenue.11.08B
Free Cash Flow ?Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The actual cash the business generates after maintaining its assets — the truest measure of profitability.12.73B
EBITDA ?Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortization. A proxy for operating cash earnings that strips out accounting and financing differences.14.13B
Total Debt ?Combined short-term and long-term interest-bearing debt obligations. Compare against cash and earnings to gauge leverage risk.30.09B
Cash & Equivalents ?Highly liquid assets on hand — cash, money market funds, and short-term securities. The company's immediate financial cushion.7.46B
Valuation
Market Cap332.27B
Enterprise Value354.89B
EV / Revenue6.0x
EV / EBITDA25.1x
P/E (TTM)30.0x
Forward P/E (extrapolated) 16.3x
PEG0.8x
P/FCF26.1x
FCF Yield3.8%
DCF Fair Value Range (base CAGR: 1.2%)
Bear
$60.00
Base
$61.83
Bull
$63.71
Bear $60 Current $83.40 (above range) Bull $64
Market is pricing in 6.3% FCF growth annually — base model assumes 1.2%
Key Metrics
Gross Margin ?Gross profit as a % of revenue. Measures how efficiently the company produces its goods or services — higher is better.64.8%
EBITDA Margin ?EBITDA as a % of revenue. Shows core operating profitability before accounting adjustments — useful for comparing across industries.23.9%
Net Margin ?Net income as a % of revenue. The ultimate measure of overall profitability after every expense, interest payment, and tax is accounted for.18.8%
FCF Margin ?Free cash flow as a % of revenue. Shows how much of each dollar of revenue converts into real, spendable cash.21.6%
Revenue Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in total revenue. Measures business momentum — sustained growth above 15% is typically considered strong.9.0%
Net Income Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in net income. Shows whether profits are growing faster or slower than revenue — a key indicator of improving or deteriorating quality.20.6%
Piotroski F-Score ?Score from 0–9 measuring financial strength across profitability, leverage, and efficiency signals. 8–9 = strong, 0–2 = distressed.7 / 9
Altman Z-Score ?Bankruptcy risk model. Above 2.99 = safe zone, 1.81–2.99 = grey zone, below 1.81 = distress signal. Most useful for manufacturing companies.1.74
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Quarterly Financials
Metric Q2 '26 Q1 '26 Q4 '25 Q3 '25 Q2 '26 Q1 '26 Q4 '25 Q3 '24 Q2 '24 Q1 '24 Q4 '23 Q3 '24
Revenue ?Total quarterly sales from primary business operations. 15.35B 14.88B 14.67B 14.15B 13.99B 13.84B 13.64B 12.70B 12.79B 14.67B 15.20B 14.57B
Gross Profit ?Quarterly revenue minus cost of goods sold. 9.97B 9.75B 9.28B 9.28B 9.11B 9.12B 8.78B 8.27B 8.22B 9.56B 9.75B 9.23B
Operating Income ?Quarterly profit from core operations before interest and taxes (EBIT). 3.78B 3.36B 3.09B 3.20B 3.11B 2.36B 2.62B 2.19B 3.10B 4.28B 4.25B 3.95B
Net Income ?Quarterly bottom-line profit after all expenses and taxes. 3.18B 2.86B 2.55B 2.49B 2.43B 2.71B 2.16B 1.89B 2.63B 3.64B 3.96B 3.21B
FCF ?Quarterly free cash flow: operating cash minus capital expenditures. 2.89B 9.84B 3.44B 7.97B 2.24B 15.25B
Revenue & Free Cash Flow
Market Cap vs. DCF Fair Value Band
Shaded region = bear-to-bull DCF range. Line = actual market cap.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Scores and valuations are derived from SEC filings and publicly available data. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.