Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR)

$14.81 close · Sep 05, 2026

Below 50 & 200 SMA

52W -67.6% from High

Our Estimate

$21.25 – $50.05 Wide range

At $15.36, the market is pricing in roughly 22% sustained revenue growth. This is a hypergrowth company reinvesting ahead of GAAP profits, so our revenue-and-margin methods put fair value in the range above — below today's price. A high-expectations growth stock, not a broken model.

Weak

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Revenue ?Total sales generated from the company's primary business activities over the trailing twelve months.	490.1M
Gross Profit ?Revenue minus cost of goods sold. What remains before operating expenses — reflects pricing power and production efficiency.	—
Operating Income ?Profit from core business operations after all operating expenses (EBIT). Excludes interest and taxes.	-134.9M
Net Income ?Bottom-line profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted from revenue.	-130.5M
Free Cash Flow ?Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The actual cash the business generates after maintaining its assets — the truest measure of profitability.	-187.8M
EBITDA ?Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortization. A proxy for operating cash earnings that strips out accounting and financing differences.	-104.7M
Total Debt ?Combined short-term and long-term interest-bearing debt obligations. Compare against cash and earnings to gauge leverage risk.	336.4M
Cash & Equivalents ?Highly liquid assets on hand — cash, money market funds, and short-term securities. The company's immediate financial cushion.	367.4M

Market Cap	2.40B
Enterprise Value	2.46B
EV / Revenue	5.0x
EV / EBITDA	-23.5x
P/E (TTM)	-18.4x
Forward P/E	—
PEG	—
P/FCF	-12.8x
FCF Yield	-7.8%

Gross Margin ?Gross profit as a % of revenue. Measures how efficiently the company produces its goods or services — higher is better.	—
EBITDA Margin ?EBITDA as a % of revenue. Shows core operating profitability before accounting adjustments — useful for comparing across industries.	-21.4%
Net Margin ?Net income as a % of revenue. The ultimate measure of overall profitability after every expense, interest payment, and tax is accounted for.	-26.6%
FCF Margin ?Free cash flow as a % of revenue. Shows how much of each dollar of revenue converts into real, spendable cash.	-38.3%
Revenue Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in total revenue. Measures business momentum — sustained growth above 15% is typically considered strong.	116.9%
Net Income Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in net income. Shows whether profits are growing faster or slower than revenue — a key indicator of improving or deteriorating quality.	45.9%
Piotroski F-Score ?Score from 0–9 measuring financial strength across profitability, leverage, and efficiency signals. 8–9 = strong, 0–2 = distressed.	2 / 9
Altman Z-Score ?Bankruptcy risk model. Above 2.99 = safe zone, 1.81–2.99 = grey zone, below 1.81 = distress signal. Most useful for manufacturing companies.	-0.20

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Metric	Q2 '26	Q1 '26	Q4 '25	Q3 '25	Q2 '25	Q1 '25	Q4 '24	Q3 '24	Q2 '25	Q1 '25	Q4 '24	Q '24
Revenue ?Total quarterly sales from primary business operations.	206.2M	186.7M	44.8M	52.4M	50.3M	62.5M	54.7M	58.5M	41.6M	73.2M	30.6M	12.7M
Gross Profit ?Quarterly revenue minus cost of goods sold.	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Operating Income ?Quarterly profit from core operations before interest and taxes (EBIT).	-47.1M	-39.2M	-33.1M	-15.4M	-28.6M	-10.1M	-13.4M	-13.7M	-27.5M	-2.8M	-7.5M	-24.0M
Net Income ?Quarterly bottom-line profit after all expenses and taxes.	-46.4M	-37.4M	-39.9M	-6.8M	-25.2M	-11.4M	-149.2M	-55.4M	18.7M	-97.5M	-27.8M	33.3M
FCF ?Quarterly free cash flow: operating cash minus capital expenditures.	-81.2M	-64.6M	-22.9M	-19.0M	-27.3M	13.3M	-6.9M	-19.3M	-33.5M	-8.0M	-24.6M	-14.6M

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Shaded region = bear-to-bull DCF range. Line = actual market cap.