META Analysis — TradeApes

Meta Platforms, Inc. (META)

Technology IT Services

$616.77 close · Sep 05, 2026

Model Divergence 67 Health · Healthy

Above 50 SMA

52W -16.5% from High

Methodology Breakdown

Mature

The market price on this stock implies growth our normalized base can't support, so we're not putting a single fair-value dollar on it. At today's price the market is implying roughly 50% annual free-cash-flow growth in our DCF — well outside what the normalized base supports. The individual method outputs are shown below for transparency.

Method	Value	Role
DCF (Base Case)	$233.19	COMPUTED
DCF (TTM-anchored)	$154.18	COMPUTED
Peer Multiples	$194.54	COMPUTED
Earnings Power Value	$49.50	COMPUTED
Book Value Anchor	$204.15	COMPUTED
Earnings Anchor	$340.03	COMPUTED
Cash Floor	$24.62	COMPUTED
NAV Anchor	$204.15	COMPUTED

Computed — every method is shown for transparency; none was published as our estimate for this stock.

📈

Undervalued -28.0%

Market cap (1582.63B) is 28.0% below the bear-case DCF fair value (2199.20B)

Sep 05

Health Score

Out of 100

Healthy

Pillar Scores

Financial Strength

Operating Trend

Valuation

Fair value 48

Capital Allocation

Risk Management

Positives

↑ free-cash-flow margin +3.5

↑ FCF margin + growth +4.4

↑ EBIT / interest +3.1

Concerns

↓ debt trend (no impairment data) -0.9

↓ stock-based comp / revenue -0.9

↓ free-cash-flow yield -1.0

Signal contribution: +37.2 from strengths -3.3 from concerns

Health Score Trend 9 snapshots

Cross-Check: Greenblatt Magic Formula

✓ Aligned

Earnings Yield

3.9%

Rank 734 / 1256

Return on Capital

87.5%

Rank 313 / 1256

Combined Rank

58th pctl

1256 companies ranked

Based on Joel Greenblatt's Magic Formula methodology. Not investment advice.

Financials

TTM Financials

Revenue ?Total sales generated from the company's primary business activities over the trailing twelve months.	168.35B
Gross Profit ?Revenue minus cost of goods sold. What remains before operating expenses — reflects pricing power and production efficiency.	—
Operating Income ?Profit from core business operations after all operating expenses (EBIT). Excludes interest and taxes.	62.18B
Net Income ?Bottom-line profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted from revenue.	45.33B
Free Cash Flow ?Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The actual cash the business generates after maintaining its assets — the truest measure of profitability.	40.98B
EBITDA ?Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortization. A proxy for operating cash earnings that strips out accounting and financing differences.	84.62B
Total Debt ?Combined short-term and long-term interest-bearing debt obligations. Compare against cash and earnings to gauge leverage risk.	83.66B
Cash & Equivalents ?Highly liquid assets on hand — cash, money market funds, and short-term securities. The company's immediate financial cushion.	15.46B

Valuation

Market Cap	1582.63B
Enterprise Value	1679.49B
EV / Revenue	10.0x
EV / EBITDA	19.8x
P/E (TTM)	34.9x
Forward P/E (extrapolated)	24.9x
PEG	—
P/FCF	38.6x
FCF Yield	2.6%

EV/EBITDA vs history — 56% percentile (mid-range)

CheapMidExpensive

EV/Sales vs history — 31% percentile (historically cheap)

CheapMidExpensive

P/Book vs history — 25% percentile (historically cheap)

CheapMidExpensive

DCF Fair Value Range (base CAGR: 37.1%)

Bear

$857.06

Base

$2,343.35

Bull

$5,740.77

Bear $857 Current $616.77 (below range) Bull $5,741

Market is pricing in 13.0% FCF growth annually — base model assumes 37.1%

Key Metrics

Gross Margin ?Gross profit as a % of revenue. Measures how efficiently the company produces its goods or services — higher is better.	—
EBITDA Margin ?EBITDA as a % of revenue. Shows core operating profitability before accounting adjustments — useful for comparing across industries.	50.3%
Net Margin ?Net income as a % of revenue. The ultimate measure of overall profitability after every expense, interest payment, and tax is accounted for.	26.9%
FCF Margin ?Free cash flow as a % of revenue. Shows how much of each dollar of revenue converts into real, spendable cash.	24.3%
Revenue Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in total revenue. Measures business momentum — sustained growth above 15% is typically considered strong.	29.1%
Net Income Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in net income. Shows whether profits are growing faster or slower than revenue — a key indicator of improving or deteriorating quality.	-10.5%
Piotroski F-Score ?Score from 0–9 measuring financial strength across profitability, leverage, and efficiency signals. 8–9 = strong, 0–2 = distressed.	5 / 9
Altman Z-Score ?Bankruptcy risk model. Above 2.99 = safe zone, 1.81–2.99 = grey zone, below 1.81 = distress signal. Most useful for manufacturing companies.	2.66

Community Sentiment

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Quarterly Financials

Metric	Q2 '26	Q1 '26	Q '25	Q '25	Q '25	Q '25	Q '25	Q3 '24	Q '25	Q '25	Q4 '23	Q3 '24
Revenue ?Total quarterly sales from primary business operations.	60.80B	56.31B	—	51.24B	47.52B	42.31B	—	40.59B	39.07B	36.46B	40.11B	34.15B
Gross Profit ?Quarterly revenue minus cost of goods sold.	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Operating Income ?Quarterly profit from core operations before interest and taxes (EBIT).	18.78B	22.87B	—	20.54B	20.44B	17.56B	—	17.35B	14.85B	13.82B	16.38B	13.75B
Net Income ?Quarterly bottom-line profit after all expenses and taxes.	15.85B	26.77B	—	2.71B	18.34B	16.64B	—	15.69B	13.47B	12.37B	14.02B	11.58B
FCF ?Quarterly free cash flow: operating cash minus capital expenditures.	1.75B	13.23B	14.83B	11.17B	9.02B	11.09B	13.56B	16.47B	11.20B	12.85B	11.81B	13.91B

Revenue & Free Cash Flow

Market Cap vs. DCF Fair Value Band

Shaded region = bear-to-bull DCF range. Line = actual market cap.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Scores and valuations are derived from SEC filings and publicly available data. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.