ALB Analysis — TradeApes

ALBEMARLE CORP (ALB)

Materials

$126.28 close · Sep 05, 2026

Overvalued (Low) Est. $78.26–$78.26 57 Health · Mixed

Below 50 & 200 SMA

52W -41.4% from High

Methodology Breakdown

Mature

Our Estimate

$78.26 – $78.26 Wide range

Low confidence: our methods span $78.26–$78.26, so we lean on the range rather than a single number. Today's price $134.97 sits above it.

Method	Value	Role
Peer Multiples	$78.26	SETS ESTIMATE
Book Value Anchor	$123.24	CROSS-CHECK
Earnings Anchor	$56.51	CROSS-CHECK
Cash Floor	$14.09	CROSS-CHECK
NAV Anchor	$123.24	CROSS-CHECK

In estimate — combined into our number · Cross-check — computed for context, not counted

Only one method produced a usable value here; it's corroborated by where the stock ranks against its peers, but there's no cross-method agreement to confirm it.

📈

Undervalued -20.1%

Market cap (17.08B) is 20.1% below the bear-case DCF fair value (21.37B)

Aug 07

Health Score

Out of 100

Mixed

Pillar Scores

Financial Strength

Operating Trend

Valuation

Fair value 60

Capital Allocation

Risk Management

Positives

↑ multiple vs own 5-yr history +4.6

↑ free-cash-flow margin +3.8

↑ FCF margin + growth +3.9

Concerns

↓ revenue YoY + 3yr CAGR -4.9

↓ ROIC − WACC (value creation) -2.8

↓ earnings yield (absolute) -1.3

Signal contribution: +28.7 from strengths -16.0 from concerns

Health Score Trend 9 snapshots

Financials

TTM Financials

Revenue ?Total sales generated from the company's primary business activities over the trailing twelve months.	5.91B
Gross Profit ?Revenue minus cost of goods sold. What remains before operating expenses — reflects pricing power and production efficiency.	1.41B
Operating Income ?Profit from core business operations after all operating expenses (EBIT). Excludes interest and taxes.	252.1M
Net Income ?Bottom-line profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted from revenue.	224.2M
Free Cash Flow ?Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The actual cash the business generates after maintaining its assets — the truest measure of profitability.	1.34B
EBITDA ?Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortization. A proxy for operating cash earnings that strips out accounting and financing differences.	893.9M
Total Debt ?Combined short-term and long-term interest-bearing debt obligations. Compare against cash and earnings to gauge leverage risk.	1.88B
Cash & Equivalents ?Highly liquid assets on hand — cash, money market funds, and short-term securities. The company's immediate financial cushion.	1.63B

Valuation

Market Cap	17.20B
Enterprise Value	17.57B
EV / Revenue	3.0x
EV / EBITDA	19.7x
P/E (TTM)	76.7x
Forward P/E	—
PEG	—
P/FCF	12.8x
FCF Yield	7.8%

EV/EBITDA vs history — 2% percentile (historically cheap)

CheapMidExpensive

EV/Sales vs history — 58% percentile (mid-range)

CheapMidExpensive

P/Book vs history — 65% percentile (mid-range)

CheapMidExpensive

DCF Fair Value Range (base CAGR: 6.8%)

Bear

$156.88

Base

$190.33

Bull

$230.31

Bear $157 Current $126.28 (below range) Bull $230

Market is pricing in -1.4% FCF growth annually — base model assumes 6.8%

Key Metrics

Gross Margin ?Gross profit as a % of revenue. Measures how efficiently the company produces its goods or services — higher is better.	23.8%
EBITDA Margin ?EBITDA as a % of revenue. Shows core operating profitability before accounting adjustments — useful for comparing across industries.	15.1%
Net Margin ?Net income as a % of revenue. The ultimate measure of overall profitability after every expense, interest payment, and tax is accounted for.	3.8%
FCF Margin ?Free cash flow as a % of revenue. Shows how much of each dollar of revenue converts into real, spendable cash.	22.7%
Revenue Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in total revenue. Measures business momentum — sustained growth above 15% is typically considered strong.	18.3%
Net Income Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in net income. Shows whether profits are growing faster or slower than revenue — a key indicator of improving or deteriorating quality.	124.1%
Piotroski F-Score ?Score from 0–9 measuring financial strength across profitability, leverage, and efficiency signals. 8–9 = strong, 0–2 = distressed.	7 / 9
Altman Z-Score ?Bankruptcy risk model. Above 2.99 = safe zone, 1.81–2.99 = grey zone, below 1.81 = distress signal. Most useful for manufacturing companies.	—

Community Sentiment

Not enough ratings yet.
Be the first to rate this company below.

Quarterly Financials

Metric	Q2 '26	Q1 '26	Q4 '25	Q3 '25	Q2 '25	Q1 '25	Q4 '25	Q3 '25	Q2 '25	Q1 '25	Q4 '25	Q3 '24
Revenue ?Total quarterly sales from primary business operations.	1.74B	1.43B	1.43B	1.31B	1.33B	1.08B	1.23B	1.35B	1.43B	1.36B	2.36B	2.31B
Gross Profit ?Quarterly revenue minus cost of goods sold.	590.3M	501.0M	197.9M	117.6M	196.9M	156.3M	138.2M	-104.0M	-10.6M	38.9M	-704.1M	54.9M
Operating Income ?Quarterly profit from core operations before interest and taxes (EBIT).	452.9M	233.5M	-217.4M	-217.0M	47.5M	19.8M	4.4M	-1.11B	-492.6M	-179.5M	-849.9M	-140.0M
Net Income ?Quarterly bottom-line profit after all expenses and taxes.	480.0M	319.1M	-414.2M	-160.7M	22.9M	41.3M	75.3M	-1.07B	-188.2M	2.4M	-617.7M	302.5M
FCF ?Quarterly free cash flow: operating cash minus capital expenditures.	638.3M	247.6M	233.1M	223.4M	-128.7M	364.6M	-347.2M	-76.0M	-83.9M	-485.6M	-786.3M	83.0M

Revenue & Free Cash Flow

Market Cap vs. DCF Fair Value Band

Shaded region = bear-to-bull DCF range. Line = actual market cap.

Want to track ALB in your own watchlist?

Create a free account to save companies, refresh fundamentals on demand, and record your investment thesis.

Get stocks like ALB in your inbox every Sunday

11 sector-leading stocks delivered to your inbox every Sunday. Free.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Scores and valuations are derived from SEC filings and publicly available data. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.