STZ Analysis — TradeApes

CONSTELLATION BRANDS, INC. (STZ)

Consumer Defensive

$158.49 close · Apr 09, 2026

Health Score

Out of 100

Mixed

Pillar Scores

Financial Strength 45

Operating Trend 55

Valuation 50

Capital Allocation 55

Risk 50

Positives

↑ Free cash flow positive — business generates real spendable cash +2.5

↑ Decent ROIC — 10–20%, solid return on invested capital +1.3

↑ Low stock compensation — SBC below 3% of revenue +0.8

Concerns

↓ High leverage — net debt/EBITDA between 3× and 5× -3.8

↓ Altman Z-Score in distress zone — elevated bankruptcy risk -3.0

Signal contribution: +4.6 from strengths -6.8 from concerns

Health Score Trend 8 snapshots

Financials

TTM Financials

Revenue ?Total sales generated from the company's primary business activities over the trailing twelve months.	9.38B
Gross Profit ?Revenue minus cost of goods sold. What remains before operating expenses — reflects pricing power and production efficiency.	4.87B
Operating Income ?Profit from core business operations after all operating expenses (EBIT). Excludes interest and taxes.	2.28B
Net Income ?Bottom-line profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted from revenue.	1.11B
Free Cash Flow ?Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The actual cash the business generates after maintaining its assets — the truest measure of profitability.	444.4M
EBITDA ?Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortization. A proxy for operating cash earnings that strips out accounting and financing differences.	2.59B
Total Debt ?Combined short-term and long-term interest-bearing debt obligations. Compare against cash and earnings to gauge leverage risk.	10.66B
Cash & Equivalents ?Highly liquid assets on hand — cash, money market funds, and short-term securities. The company's immediate financial cushion.	152.4M

Valuation

Market Cap	—
Enterprise Value	—
EV / Revenue	—
EV / EBITDA	—
P/E (TTM)	—
Forward P/E	—
PEG	—
P/FCF	—
FCF Yield	—

Relative Valuation

Using relative multiples

Key Metrics

Gross Margin ?Gross profit as a % of revenue. Measures how efficiently the company produces its goods or services — higher is better.	52.0%
EBITDA Margin ?EBITDA as a % of revenue. Shows core operating profitability before accounting adjustments — useful for comparing across industries.	27.6%
Net Margin ?Net income as a % of revenue. The ultimate measure of overall profitability after every expense, interest payment, and tax is accounted for.	11.8%
FCF Margin ?Free cash flow as a % of revenue. Shows how much of each dollar of revenue converts into real, spendable cash.	4.7%
Revenue Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in total revenue. Measures business momentum — sustained growth above 15% is typically considered strong.	-7.9%
Net Income Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in net income. Shows whether profits are growing faster or slower than revenue — a key indicator of improving or deteriorating quality.	61.7%
Piotroski F-Score ?Score from 0–9 measuring financial strength across profitability, leverage, and efficiency signals. 8–9 = strong, 0–2 = distressed.	5 / 9
Altman Z-Score ?Bankruptcy risk model. Above 2.99 = safe zone, 1.81–2.99 = grey zone, below 1.81 = distress signal. Most useful for manufacturing companies.	1.66

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Quarterly Financials

Metric	Q3 '26	Q2 '26	Q1 '26	Q '25	Q3 '26	Q2 '26	Q1 '26	Q '25	Q3 '25	Q2 '24	Q1 '25	Q '24
Revenue ?Total quarterly sales from primary business operations.	2.22B	2.48B	2.52B	2.16B	2.46B	2.92B	2.66B	2.14B	2.47B	2.84B	2.51B	2.00B
Gross Profit ?Quarterly revenue minus cost of goods sold.	1.18B	1.31B	1.27B	1.11B	1.28B	1.51B	1.40B	1.04B	1.27B	1.45B	1.26B	961.2M
Operating Income ?Quarterly profit from core operations before interest and taxes (EBIT).	692.0M	874.0M	713.8M	—	793.0M	-1.23B	941.6M	—	796.9M	978.7M	764.7M	—
Net Income ?Quarterly bottom-line profit after all expenses and taxes.	502.8M	466.0M	516.1M	-375.3M	615.9M	-1.20B	877.0M	392.4M	509.1M	690.0M	135.9M	223.0M
FCF ?Quarterly free cash flow: operating cash minus capital expenditures.	—	—	444.4M	—	—	—	315.2M	—	—	—	388.4M	—

Revenue & Free Cash Flow

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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Scores and valuations are derived from SEC filings and publicly available data. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.