LEU Analysis — TradeApes

CENTRUS ENERGY CORP (LEU)

Materials Materials—Mining

$110.12 close · Oct 20, 2026

Overvalued (Low) Est. $39.80–$64.93 37 Health · Weak

Below 50 & 200 SMA

52W -67.4% from High

Methodology Breakdown

Mature

Our Estimate

$39.80 – $64.93 Wide range

Low confidence: our methods span $39.80–$64.93, so we lean on the range rather than a single number. Today's price $114.94 sits above it.

Method	Value	Role
DCF (Base Case)	$39.80	IN ESTIMATE
Peer Multiples	$64.93	IN ESTIMATE
Earnings Power Value	$44.11	CROSS-CHECK
Book Value Anchor	$69.07	CROSS-CHECK
Earnings Anchor	$73.16	CROSS-CHECK
Cash Floor	$59.75	CROSS-CHECK
NAV Anchor	$69.07	CROSS-CHECK

In estimate — combined into our number · Cross-check — computed for context, not counted

⚠️

Multiple stretched z = +1.51

EV/EBITDA (147.8×) is 1.51 std deviations above its 2-year average

Sep 15

Health Score

Out of 100

Weak

Pillar Scores

Financial Strength

Operating Trend

Valuation

Overvalued 21

Capital Allocation

Risk Management

Positives

↑ net debt / EBITDA +5.0

↑ leverage + near-term maturities +1.6

↑ current + quick ratio +2.7

Concerns

↓ free-cash-flow margin -4.8

↓ FCF margin + growth -4.0

↓ margin expansion -2.0

Signal contribution: +16.4 from strengths -37.5 from concerns

Health Score Trend 9 snapshots

Cross-Check: Greenblatt Magic Formula

⚠ Mild Divergence

Earnings Yield

1.7%

Rank 1056 / 1256

Return on Capital

2.6%

Rank 1220 / 1256

Combined Rank

8th pctl

1256 companies ranked

Based on Joel Greenblatt's Magic Formula methodology. Not investment advice.

Financials

TTM Financials

Revenue ?Total sales generated from the company's primary business activities over the trailing twelve months.	473.9M
Gross Profit ?Revenue minus cost of goods sold. What remains before operating expenses — reflects pricing power and production efficiency.	112.1M
Operating Income ?Profit from core business operations after all operating expenses (EBIT). Excludes interest and taxes.	7.4M
Net Income ?Bottom-line profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted from revenue.	48.7M
Free Cash Flow ?Operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The actual cash the business generates after maintaining its assets — the truest measure of profitability.	-163.8M
EBITDA ?Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortization. A proxy for operating cash earnings that strips out accounting and financing differences.	17.0M
Total Debt ?Combined short-term and long-term interest-bearing debt obligations. Compare against cash and earnings to gauge leverage risk.	1.18B
Cash & Equivalents ?Highly liquid assets on hand — cash, money market funds, and short-term securities. The company's immediate financial cushion.	1.87B

Valuation

Market Cap	2.41B
Enterprise Value	1.72B
EV / Revenue	3.6x
EV / EBITDA	101.3x
P/E (TTM)	49.5x
Forward P/E (extrapolated)	28.7x
PEG	—
P/FCF	-14.7x
FCF Yield	-6.8%

EV/EBITDA vs history — 36% percentile (mid-range)

CheapMidExpensive

EV/Sales vs history — 5% percentile (historically cheap)

CheapMidExpensive

P/Book vs history — 0% percentile (historically cheap)

CheapMidExpensive

Relative Valuation

Negative FCF (-163.8M TTM) — using relative multiples instead of DCF

EV / Revenue

3.6x

Book Value / Share

$38.62

Price / Book

2.9x

P/E (TTM)

49.5x

Price / Sales

5.1x

Key Metrics

Gross Margin ?Gross profit as a % of revenue. Measures how efficiently the company produces its goods or services — higher is better.	23.7%
EBITDA Margin ?EBITDA as a % of revenue. Shows core operating profitability before accounting adjustments — useful for comparing across industries.	3.6%
Net Margin ?Net income as a % of revenue. The ultimate measure of overall profitability after every expense, interest payment, and tax is accounted for.	10.3%
FCF Margin ?Free cash flow as a % of revenue. Shows how much of each dollar of revenue converts into real, spendable cash.	-34.6%
Revenue Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in total revenue. Measures business momentum — sustained growth above 15% is typically considered strong.	8.5%
Net Income Growth (YoY) ?Year-over-year change in net income. Shows whether profits are growing faster or slower than revenue — a key indicator of improving or deteriorating quality.	-53.0%
Piotroski F-Score ?Score from 0–9 measuring financial strength across profitability, leverage, and efficiency signals. 8–9 = strong, 0–2 = distressed.	2 / 9
Altman Z-Score ?Bankruptcy risk model. Above 2.99 = safe zone, 1.81–2.99 = grey zone, below 1.81 = distress signal. Most useful for manufacturing companies.	1.86

Community Sentiment

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Quarterly Financials

Metric	Q2 '26	Q1 '26	Q4 '25	Q3 '25	Q2 '25	Q1 '25	Q4 '24	Q3 '25	Q2 '25	Q1 '25	Q4 '24	Q3 '24
Revenue ?Total quarterly sales from primary business operations.	176.1M	76.7M	146.2M	74.9M	154.5M	73.1M	151.6M	57.7M	189.0M	43.7M	103.6M	51.3M
Gross Profit ?Quarterly revenue minus cost of goods sold.	49.9M	31.5M	35.0M	-4.3M	53.9M	32.9M	61.8M	8.9M	36.5M	4.3M	49.8M	11.3M
Operating Income ?Quarterly profit from core operations before interest and taxes (EBIT).	10.4M	$800,000	12.8M	-16.6M	33.5M	20.5M	45.1M	-7.6M	21.1M	-10.6M	32.6M	-2.9M
Net Income ?Quarterly bottom-line profit after all expenses and taxes.	16.8M	10.0M	18.0M	3.9M	28.9M	27.2M	52.5M	-5.0M	30.6M	-6.1M	55.9M	8.2M
FCF ?Quarterly free cash flow: operating cash minus capital expenditures.	-53.2M	-58.3M	-58.0M	5.7M	49.2M	34.4M	57.2M	-34.2M	6.1M	3.8M	17.4M	-24.4M

Revenue & Free Cash Flow

Market Cap vs. DCF Fair Value Band

Shaded region = bear-to-bull DCF range. Line = actual market cap.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Scores and valuations are derived from SEC filings and publicly available data. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.